Publication
The Korean Economic Forum
Construction of Financial Sentiment Dictionary and Effectiveness of Financial Sentiment Index
So-yeon Lim (Ewha Womans University) and In-bae Ki (Ewha Womans University)Year 2023Vol. 16No. 1
Abstract
This paper investigates whether the investors’ psychological factor has a
predictive power for the stock market movement from the perspective of the
behavioral economics. We made several contributions in this literature. First,
we constructed the financial sentiment dictionary for the Korean text analysis to
its name for the first time. It is based on the most popular financial sentiment
dictionary of Loughran and McDonald (2011), but much expanded by Word2Vec
model. Second, different from the related previous studies that mostly used the
monthly data for financial sentiment index (FSI), we built its daily data to
explain the high frequency stock return movement. Lastly, we built two kinds of
FSI, that is, ‘KOSPI FSI’ for the overall Korean stock market and ‘Samsung
Electronics FSI’ for an individual stock price, and explore their predictive
powers. From this exercise we found the following results. (i) When the
standardized daily KOSPI FSI increases by one standard deviation, the daily
KOSPI return rises by 0.60%. (ii) When the standardized daily Samsung
Electronics FSI increases by one standard deviation, the daily excess return of
Samsung Electronics rises by 0.75%. (iii) However, the KOSPI FSI can not
explain the excess return of Samsung Electronics. Nor can the Samsung
Electronics FSI the KOSPI returns. Such results enforce the reliability and
validity of the FSIs constructed in this paper.