Publication
The Korean Economic Forum
The Effects of Changes in the Local Economic and Housing Market on Small and Medium Enterprise Loans
Han Ik Jang (IBK Economic Research Institute) and Kwang Hae Won (Busan Techno Park)Year 2024Vol. 16No. 4
Abstract
This study dynamically examines the impact of macroeconomic and housing
market changes on small and medium-sized enterprise (SME) loans in common
(16 regions) or individual regions using the Bayesian Panel VARX model.
According to the empirical analysis results, the average outcome for the 16
regions indicates that SME loans tend to increase when industrial production,
consumer prices, housing prices, and mortgage loans for homes rise. However,
when examining these trends in individual regions, it is challenging to observe
consistent results across all areas. In other words, the possibility arises that in
some regions, access to funding for SMEs through financial institutions may
become difficult due to policies in industrial investment and housing market that
do not consider regional characteristics. On the other hand, during the recent
COVID-19 pandemic period, policy effects indirectly confirmed through SME
loans show a clear response to the increase in market interest rates, but the
response to cost increases due to rising prices appears somewhat weak from an
economic perspective.